Thesis : FTM / SUI pair trade

Disclaimer (this is financial advice)

Please take as many loans as you can, take your girlfriend’s jewelry and gaslight her into thinking she’s lost it, the following trade is 100% guaranteed and is financial advice. Don’t be a pussy and DO IT.

Background

Both blockchains are competing for the same niche of ultra-fast, high TPS blockchains. There can be only one king of the jungle.

SUI is an overvalued piece of garbage

It’s unclear what it does nor who is actually using this. Going through their twitter, I can’t find any meaningful project or partner, same after some basic googling.

I found a social-fi (whatever that is) app with no users https://suia.io/, a NFT marketplace (for SUI), a DEX (for SUI) etc. They mention gaming, finance in their website yet no one is actually using it for these purpose in real-life. On a surface level, it just feels that they built a blockchain for the sake of building a blockchain.

Yet the market cap is a whooping 5.5B USD. The fuck ?

Ah, and “infrastructure partners” are dumping on retail (you lol)

Ah, and it’s already losing mindshare

sui(cide)
I'm not a TA guru but does this look sustainable ?

FTM is undervalued

I’ll keep it short and sweet :

  • Built by Cronje (one of the DeFi OG) and his team, total faith in their ability to deliver (once again) solid tech
  • Ultra-fast, ultra-cheap, and fees structure to pay builders
  • Previous ATH of 3$ now only trading at ~70 cents
  • 1:1 swap between current FTM token and yet-to-be Sonic token, you're buying the presales basically
  • Slept on by everyone yet slowly gaining mainshare, some of the main characters (/grifters) of this cycle are getting onboard (Ansem etc)
  • Had one of the highest TVL last cycle and the best DeFi ponzis
  • Built-in Ethereum gateway or whatever, killing most L2s
  • Market cap only at 2B (2.5x below SUI !!!), slowly grinding up
  • Tons of projects and new DeFi primitives coming up (Pendle finance etc.)
  • No predatory VC nor insiders to dump on your ass, Fantom foundation has enough dough to sustain itself for a long time

Price convergence using advanced maths and AI

Trust my quantitative :

AI
Not-to-scale

Trade as of today (20th October 2024)

Pair trade in a paper account that I plan to keep open until the end of the bull-run (or until FTM is rolled out for SONIC), we’ll see in real-time how the thesis plays out. I’ll post update if I’m right (to brag) or delete this post if I’m wrong (sorry not sorry).

trade